Heartland Express Stock Performance

HTLD Stock  USD 10.35  0.30  2.99%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Heartland Express holds a performance score of 16. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.66, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Heartland Express' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Heartland Express is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Heartland Express' value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Heartland Express' current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Heartland Express are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unfluctuating essential indicators, Heartland Express exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2.99
Five Day Return
(4.08)
Year To Date Return
13.11
Ten Year Return
(40.41)
All Time Return
2.3 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0077
Payout Ratio
0.4211
Last Split Factor
4:3
Forward Dividend Rate
0.08
Dividend Date
2026-01-07
1
HeartlandRasmussen Poll 52 percent of Young Voters Have Favorable Impression of Democratic Socialist Zohran Mamdani
11/13/2025
2
Disposition of 10000000 shares by Ann S. Gerdin Revocable Trust of Heartland Express subject to Rule 16b-3
12/01/2025
3
Silicon Heartland has stop signs among the green lights
12/16/2025
4
Heartland Express Palm Valley Capital Funds Top Q4 Contributor
01/06/2026
 
Heartland Express dividend paid on 7th of January 2026
01/07/2026
6
Yupp Video Services Partners with Get After It Media to Launch Heartland
01/08/2026
7
Heartland Value Funds Q4 2025 Investor Letter
01/13/2026
8
Heartland Express Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings
01/14/2026
9
The New World Currency
01/22/2026
10
UMB Financial Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow41.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-46.5 M

Heartland Express Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  769.00  in Heartland Express on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  236.00  from holding Heartland Express or generate 30.69% return on investment over 90 days. Heartland Express is currently generating 0.4707% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.2144% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Heartland, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Heartland Express is expected to generate 2.95 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.95 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.21 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Heartland Express Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Heartland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.35 90 days 10.35 
about 9.07
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Heartland Express to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.07 (This Heartland Express probability density function shows the probability of Heartland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Heartland Express has a beta of 0.66. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Heartland Express average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Heartland Express will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Heartland Express has an alpha of 0.3166, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Heartland Express Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Heartland Express

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Heartland Express. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.8410.0512.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.9611.1713.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.609.8012.01
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.469.3010.32
Details

Heartland Express Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Heartland Express is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Heartland Express' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Heartland Express, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Heartland Express within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
1.13
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Heartland Express Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Heartland Express for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Heartland Express can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (29.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 235.67 M.
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 7th of January 2026 Heartland Express paid $ 0.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: UMB Financial Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Heartland Express Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Heartland Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Heartland Express' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Heartland Express' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments12.8 M

Heartland Express Fundamentals Growth

Heartland Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Heartland Express, and Heartland Express fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Heartland Stock performance.

About Heartland Express Performance

By analyzing Heartland Express' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Heartland Express' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Heartland Express has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Heartland Express has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 39.95  24.51 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.04)(0.04)
Return On Capital Employed(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Assets(0.03)(0.02)
Return On Equity(0.04)(0.04)

Things to note about Heartland Express performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Heartland Express for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Heartland Express help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.05 B. Net Loss for the year was (29.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 235.67 M.
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 7th of January 2026 Heartland Express paid $ 0.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: UMB Financial Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Evaluating Heartland Express' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Heartland Express' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Heartland Express' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Heartland Express' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Heartland Express' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Heartland Express' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Heartland Express' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Heartland Express' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Heartland Express' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Heartland Express' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Heartland Express' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Heartland Express' price analysis, check to measure Heartland Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Heartland Express is operating at the current time. Most of Heartland Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Heartland Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Heartland Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Heartland Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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